Some work has been done to look at the calculation of poulation growth used by the Spatial Framework group.
It is clear that the data they are using is out of date they appear to have used data from 2008/2010. These also do not take into account the effects of a Brexit where we will be able to limit both EU and none EU immigration.
The new figures using 2016 Data predicts that well will not need to build on Green belt at this stage but Brown sites should produce enough area for the extra house required.
See below for further information I am not sure how we would go about forcing the spatial framework group to revisit the population firgures it may require a judicial review of some sort. if there are any lawyers out there this may be one avenue to look into.
If you use the new figures this half the number of houses required in our area. Taking them down to 6 or 7k. This in effect means that Apethorn, and Godley Greenwould not be required on the allocation and that exisiting Brown Belt sites would cope with the extra housing. Tameside currently only require an additional 500 houses per year to cope with current growth rates.
Please add this arguement to any objkections you are making to the Framework
28.8.25 OA25 South Tameside
Ref: Land south west of Apethorn Lane ( 230 houses ) and land east of the A560 at Bowlacre Farm. (380 houses)
Greater Manchester: Strategic Housing Market Assessment, October 2016, states the following
1.5 The most recent previous comprehensive assessment for Greater Manchester was produced in 2008, with a subsequent review in 2010. This SHMA supersedes those previous documents and therefore presents the most up to date picture in respect of housing need across Greater Manchester. It takes account of up to date population figures available at the time of writing, most notably the 2014 Sub-National Population Projections (SNPP) published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in 2016 and 2014 based Household Projections, published by Communities and Local Government in 2016.
Data collected from the SNPP shows a population for Tameside of 222,148 in 2016 rising to 236,544 in 2035. This increase in population of 14,396 would equate to 6,259 houses at a habitation of 2.3 persons/house.
The justification for the OA25 South Tameside allocation is that 13,700 houses will be required in Tameside by 2035.
Even if an above baseline allowance of 25% was included in the housing requirement figure of 6,259 houses it would still only be 7,824 houses.
This number of new houses could be achieved within the existing brownfield sites without the need to release greenbelt.
The release of greenbelt sites for building development would be a strong disincentive to the rejuvenation of derelict brownfield sites as no developer would use these as a first choice option.
I object strongly to the planning strategy of the GMSF on the grounds that the projected housing requirement is overstated, it relies heavily on greenbelt release and does nothing to ensure that the post industrial derelict sites within our towns are developed as the first priority.
Mr D Morten
83 Apethorn Lane, Gee Cross, SK14 5DL